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I got beat like a bitch last weekend, which led to some interesting text messages Friday night after Louisville-Connecticut. My favorite simply read, “You’re a fucking idiot.”

This is a tough week because you have to decide whether some of last weekend’s performances were simply anomalies or if they represent certain team’s actual talent levels. How do you feel about USC, Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Wake Forest, etc. going forward?

I recommend treading lightly and start firing away again next week.

Here are two Overs I really like because if the teams in these games can simply score 10 points less than their season averages they will both still go over.

Penn State at Purdue (Over 58) - 1 UNIT (ESPN, Noon)

1) Purdue averages 30.3 ppg.

2) Of their 400 yards a game of total offense, Purdue averages 278 of those passing.

3) Purdue gives up over 26 ppg.

4) Penn State averages over 50 ppg.

5) Penn State averages 515 yards of total offense per game, evenly distributed between the run and the pass.

6) The combined scoring average of these two teams is 80.3 ppg.

Booth’s Prediction: Penn State 42,  Purdue 24. Take the Over at 58.

Missouri at Nebraska (Over 69) - 1 UNIT (ESPN, 9PM)

1) Nebraska averages 37.5 ppg.

2) Nebraska averages 265 yards a game passing of their over 421 yards a game of total offense.

3) Missouri averages 53.8 ppg.

4) Missouri averages just under 600 yards of total offense a game.

5) Missouri has Chase Daniel. He’s completing 75.9% of his passes while still averaging a ridiculous 10.5 yard per attempt.

6) Combined scoring average of these two teams is 91.3 ppg.

Booth’s Prediction: Missouri 52  Nebraska 34. Take the Over at 69.

Good luck out there.

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