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If I could think of a reason why a team would shave points in order to push, I would be under the impression Georgia purposely tried to not cover the line against Tennessee last Saturday. But it’s actually much more likely they just think I suck. Could have been worse though. We were still positive for the weekend and we’re still up for the year. Now on to the Week 8 gravy train…

Wake Forest (-2.5) at Maryland - 1 UNIT (Raycom, Noon)

Coaching: Wake Forest -4

I respect Ralph Friedgen. I think he is a good but not great coach.

By now I’ve made my tremling hard-on for Jim Grobe pretty obvious. He is a great coach. I try to curb my expectations for him because I rate him so high, but I think -4 is a conservative number in this spot.

I have noticed over the last couple of weeks that Grobe has gone back to more of the counter/misdirection look in the run game to get it going, which I believe will really help balance out the offense this week.

Home Field Advantage: Maryland -2

Byrd Stadium is not known as a place that you don’t just roll into and take home a win.  At this point, I don’t expect Wake Forest to be particularly intimidated by any crowd, but they do have to travel.

Quarterback: Wake Forest -5.5

Chris Turner is not terrible. His dad was in Ratt and completes 58.4% of his passes. But he only averages 7 yards per attempt and has thrown the same amount of TDs as INTs with 6 of each.

Riley Skinner is a gamer. He has gone 124 for 182 (68.1%) for 1,160 yards. He has also shown the ability to pick up key third downs with his feet. If you throw out the terrible performance against Navy, Skinner has been a good horse to ride (insert dong out picture here).

Talent: Wake Forest -5.5

I really like what DJ Boldin brings to the game for Wake at WR. He provides a solid go-to guy on third downs and I expect him to carry the ball at least three times this week on counters or reverses.

If you don’t know about Wake’s defense, you shouldn’t be betting on college football.  (this just in: they are extremely opportunistic and will force turnovers).

Maryland’s talent at the WR position will not much up with the talented Wake Forest secondary. Halfway through the season Maryland’s top 2 WRs only have a total of 134 yards each.

Schedule: Even

Maryland is coming off a bye week. Wake Forest got an extra couple days to prepare by playing last Thursday night.

Momentum: Wake -1

Maryland got beat 31-0 by Virginia two weeks ago. I normally would expect Maryland to bounce back but the Terps have been a deceptive team this year. They caught Cal still during the first half of a noon east coast kickoff. Then they were dead to rights against Clemson, until Clemson self-destructed in the second half. Maryland could easily be 2-4, and I feel that they will play more like a 2-4 team than a 4-2 team.

ADVANTAGE: Wake Forest -14. Take the Deacons -2.5

Nebraska (-8) at Iowa State - 1 UNIT (Versus, 12:30PM)

Coaching: Nebraska -5

Bo Pelini will be successful at Nebraska.  He knows how to coach and his players seem to have “bought in”. The team is improving with each game.

Iowa State Coach Gene Chizik led the Cyclones to a 3-9 record last year and he looks to have them heading to about the same record this year unless they manage to upset someone left on the schedule.

Home Field Advantage: Iowa St. -1

Nobody is worried about going to Ames and winning because everybody does it, but Nebraska has to travel.

Quarterback: Nebraska -6

Nebraska QB Joe Ganz has been putting up solid numbers all year. He has gone 129 for 186 (69.4%) for 1,636 yards with 11 TDs and 6 INTs. The most important thing about his stats though are that he has been consistently good in Nebraska’s last three games against Virginia Tech, Missouri, and Texas Tech, all of which Nebraska lost.

Iowa State QB Austen Arnaud has not been bad this year. He has gone 102 for 169 (60.4%) for 1,087 yards with 8 TDs and 4 INTs. The problem with Arnaud is that he is not an impact guy. He’s simply average.

Talent: Nebraska -8

Iowa State does not have a single dynamic playmaker on offense. Their defense gives up over 28 points a game and has given up 34, 35, and 38 in their last three games against offensive juggernauts UNLV, Kansas, and Baylor.

Nebraska’s defense has been disappointing giving up 27.8 ppg, but luckily they aren’t facing Missouri or Texas Tech like they have the last two weeks. Offensively, Nebraska averages 420 yards per game.

Schedule: Nebraska -2

Nebraska just finished up a three game stretch against three very good teams. Playing the Cyclones this week has to be a welcome site.

Iowa State is just starting the meat of their schedule and they are only 2-4 going into this game. Other than next week against Texas A&M, they will be at least a touchdown underdog in every game the rest of the season.

Momentum: EVEN

Nebraska has lost three straight to the likes of Virginia Tech, Missouri, and Texas Tech.

Iowa State has lost four straight to the likes of Iowa, UNLV, Kansas, and Baylor. See a difference?

ADVANTAGE Nebraska -20. Take the Cornhuskers -8.

Utah State at Nevada (-22) - 1 UNIT

Coaching: Nevada -4

Nevada Coach Chris Ault has been at Nevada for 23 years. His team runs the “pistol” attack which is both innovative and tough to stop.

Do you know who coaches Utah State? Who gives a shit? Seriously, Brent Guy? Career Record: 7-34?  Awesome.

Home Field Advantage: Nevada -3

No reason to give Nevada anything but the standard.

Quarterback: Nevada -11

Utah State QB Diondre Borel sucks. He has thrown for a total of 670 yards this year.

Nevada QB makes plays with both his legs and his arm. He completes 64.2% of his passes and has thrown 9 TDs against only 3 INTs. He has also run for 565 yards and 9 more TDs.

Talent: Nevada -21

Utah State’s defense might be the worst in the country. They give up 38.7 ppg.  Nevada’s offense averages 533 yards a game, which is 6th best in the country.

This spread would be higher but Nevada’s defense gives up 34.3 ppg. However, Nevada played Texas Tech and Missouri out of conference.

Schedule: Nevada -1

Utah State has to play two games in a row.

Momentum: Nevada -2

Utah State is 1-5. How the hell they won that one game is a mystery. Their program and players are used to losing by a lot of points.

ADVANTAGE Nevada -42.  Take Nevada -22.

Good luck out there this weekend.

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