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In case you haven’t noticed of cooled off a bit over the last couple of weeks. We’re still in the black for the season and hopefully we’ll look back at Week 5 and Week 6 as aberrations. Time to get back to winning…

Utah (-23) at Wyoming - 1 UNIT (2PM)

Coaching:  Utah -4

Utah Coach Kyle Whittingham always seems to have his team ready to play. They display all the qualities of a well coached, disciplined team.

Wyoming Coach Joe Glenn is an underrated guy who knows how to coach, but he simply doesn’t have the talent.

Home Field Advantage: Wyoming -1

Wyoming gets the slight edge because Utah has to travel.

Quarterback Play: Utah -13.5

Utah QB Brian Johnson completes 66% of his passes and has passed for 1,330 yards with 10 TDs against only 6 INTs. Johnson can also make plays with his legs if necessary; he has already had a 56 yard TD rush.

Wyoming QB Dax Crum is the worst. Last week Wyoming went with Karsten Sween instead of Crum.  He is the second worst. He was 9 of 19 for 71 yards with an INT.

Talent: Utah -21

Utah is better than Wyoming at everything by a lot.

The key to this game though lies with the Utah special teams and the Wyoming offense.  Wyoming averages 9 ppg and it’s not like they played three games on the road in the SEC to start the season.

Wyoming’s inept offense is going to have to drive the ball a long way when they do get their hands on the ball because Utah has the best punter in the country. When your offense sucks, it’s difficult to score when you have to go on 80 yard drives to do so.

Schedule: EVEN

Nothing significant of note.

Momentum: Utah -5

Wyoming has lost three straight games while being shut out in two of those games. Utah has won 6 straight games. They know if they take care of business that their season ending game against BYU should be a BCS play-in game.

ADVANTAGE UTAH - 42.5.  Take Utah -23.

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With another monster matchup dominating the college football landscape this weekend we’re once again here to provide some off the field analysis to balance out all the on the field analysis you’re in store for. Here are several of the off the field matchups that are most important to us. Things like…

Tailgating Eye Candy

Texas vs. Oklahoma

These photos make for a pretty interesting debate, and we think you could make a strong case either way, but from all the research we’ve done (which is a startling amount) we feel Texas holds the edge in quantity. And we always buy in bulk. Edge: Texas

Actors We’d Have a Beer With

Matthew McConaughey (Texas) vs. Ed Harris (Oklahoma)

Of the actors from each school currently getting steady work, Matthew McConaughey and Ed Harris are easily the two we’d most like to have a beer with. A couple months ago we’d probably have gone with Harris in this spot. He kicked ass in A History of Violence and we wouldn’t have to deal with any shirtlessness. But after McConaughey’s killer performance as “The Pecker” in Tropic Thunder (might be the #1 reason to see the movie) we’re going with Wooderson. Edge: Texas

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Booth picks winners! 95% all time ATS! Weekly CFB picks on NextRound.net!

Want to take a fancy trip to Dubai?! Want to hit range balls off the helicopter pad like Tiger?! Just play Booth’s picks and your dreams will become a reality! Keep a roll of toilet paper nearby! You just might shit yourself!

I got beat like a bitch last weekend, which led to some interesting text messages Friday night after Louisville-Connecticut. My favorite simply read, “You’re a fucking idiot.”

This is a tough week because you have to decide whether some of last weekend’s performances were simply anomalies or if they represent certain team’s actual talent levels. How do you feel about USC, Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Wake Forest, etc. going forward?

I recommend treading lightly and start firing away again next week.

Here are two Overs I really like because if the teams in these games can simply score 10 points less than their season averages they will both still go over.

Penn State at Purdue (Over 58) - 1 UNIT (ESPN, Noon)

1) Purdue averages 30.3 ppg.

2) Of their 400 yards a game of total offense, Purdue averages 278 of those passing.

3) Purdue gives up over 26 ppg.

4) Penn State averages over 50 ppg.

5) Penn State averages 515 yards of total offense per game, evenly distributed between the run and the pass.

6) The combined scoring average of these two teams is 80.3 ppg.

Booth’s Prediction: Penn State 42,  Purdue 24. Take the Over at 58.

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Booth picks winners! 95% all time ATS! Weekly CFB picks on NextRound.net!

Want to live in a fancy house?! Want to pour champagne on girls in bikinis and not get slapped?! Just play Booth’s picks and your dreams will become a reality! Keep a roll of toilet paper nearby! You just might shit yourself!

So who else liked Oregon State and the under last night?

Last weekend was our first weekend in the red — albiet just barely (-0.2 units) — so it’s time to come strong. And nothing says strong like my first 2 unit pick of the season…

Connecticut at Louisville (-3.5) - 2 UNITS (ESPN2, 8PM Friday)

Coaching:  Louisville -3

Louisville gets the three point edge because of new Defensive Coordinator Ron English. He has changed the scheme, attitude, and productivity of the Cardinals defense.

Home Field Advantage: Louisville -3

Louisville gets the standard three point edge for home field advantage. This is a fairly long trip for UConn and Louisville fans create a great college football atmosphere, despite their stadium being named after deliver pizza.

Quarterback: Louisville -7

UConn QBTyler Lorenzen is nothing more than a caretaker. He doesn’t have a strong arm and he doesn’t have the ability to stretch the field.

Louisville’s QB was absolutely pathetic against Kentucky in the season opener. I mean horrible. However, his performance did not reflect his talent level. In the two games since the season opener he has completed 66% of his passes with 4 TDs and 0 Ints.

Talent:  Louisville -3

UConn boasts the leading rusher in the nation, Donald Brown. The problem is the Huskies have no compliment for Brown. They’ve even recently resorted to giving DBs a shot at receiver in an attempt to create some much needed offensive fire power.  UConn’s defense looked solid on paper prior to the Baylor game, but in that contest they were exposed. If Baylor’s QB could have hit more wide open recievers UConn would have lost that game by double digits.

Louisville’s defense has looked extremely good this season. They’re only giving up 42 yards a game on the ground and 200 yards a game through the air. This is where the hidden value in this line rests.

Schedule: Louisville -0.5

This is the first of three huge road games for UConn (Louisville, North Carolina, Rutgers) while Louisville is playing their 4^th straight home game.

Momentum: Louisville -1

After getting a hard fought win against Baylor last Friday night this looks to be a classic letdown spot for UConn. Louisville has bounced back nicely from their season opening disappointment against Kentucky and the team has been playing extremely well in their last two games.

ADVANTAGE: Louisville -17.5. Take Louisville -3.5.

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This is probably the first you’ve heard of this so you might want to sit down, if you’re not already, which you probably are since not that many people cruise the internet from an upright position. But get this: USC LOST TO OREGON STATE LAST NIGHT.

That’s right, US-fucking-C. The NCAA’s NFL team. They lost. To Beavers. To Beavers of the Pacific Northwest. After being favored by 25 points. Wow. That’s embarrassing. We have several people we’d like to address…

To Pete Carroll:

What’s the fucking deal, bro? How do your squads pummel every out of conference team they play then do their best Florida State impersonation in conference? Get your shit together. You play in the Pac-10, not the NFC North.

To Oregon State:

We’ll never bet against Beavers again. It’s cost us too many times.

To Mark Sanchez: 

Wait until after the game to start debating which Song Girl you want to bang.

To the Pac-10:

The Big Ten just called. They want their identity back, along with their ability not to cover. And just before they called the WAC called. They wanted us to tell you to suck it.

To Erin Andrews:

Your rack looked awesome last night.

To Joe McKnight:

You’re supposed to be doing your best “Reggie Bush at USC” impersonation, not your best “Reggie Bush in the NFL” impersonation.

To the Pac-10 Homer on the Radio this Morning

You’re a delusional moron. Oregon State’s win over USC was not a demonstration of how strong your conference is. Not when an old, wrinkly Joe Paterno pounded the Beavers into submission in Week 2 (heh, heh). If there’s any justice in the world you’ll take a shot to the nuts at some point today. Eat a dong.
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We’re about a day and a half late on this, but this catch is just too awesome not to post.

Reminds us a lot of a spectacular grab Big Slim once made when we were playing ultimate in the quad. We’d have to grade them equally awesome.

[H/T: With Leather]

Booth picks winners! 95% all time ATS! Weekly CFB picks on NextRound.net!

Want to wear fancy necklaces?! Want a stripper to give you her real number?! Just play Booth’s picks and your dreams will become a reality! Keep a roll of toilet paper nearby! You just might shit yourself!

First Chink in the armor last weekend with the New Mexico State pick. I’m sure most of you were expecting me to at worst push, not actually lose a game. My apologies. We’re still a healthy 7-1 (+5.9 units) with plans to capitalize even further this weekend on four higher profile games.

Wake Forest (+5) at Florida State - 1 UNIT (ESPN 2, 7PM)

Coaching:  Wake Forest -5.5

I like Bobby Bowden as a coach probably more than I should but he doesn’t really do anything anymore except wear cool hats and use funny words in interviews.

Jim Grobe might just be the best coach in the country. I think you could argue -5.5 isn’t giving Wake Forest enough credit in this spot, but I’m trying to remain conservative with my numbers.

Home Field Advantage: FSU -3

Doak Campbell is not an easy place to win. Normally I would give Florida State more than the standard three points, but two years ago when these two teams played in Tallahassee Wake Forest won 30-0.

Quarterback: Wake Forest -6

Christian Ponder is a better option than Drew Weatherford but he has to prove it against a legitimate defense before his numbers become relevant.

Riley Skinner has looked superb so far this season (and I’m not talking dong photos) against legitimate competition going 59 of 79 for 487 yards with 5 TDs and 0 INTs.

Talent: Wake Forest -3

When Bobby Bowden was asked why his team has fallen off since the late 90s his answer was that he doesn’t have the same caliber athletes. Answers like that are why I like Bowden. I think he is right.

I feel the hidden value in this line rests with how much Ponder will struggle against the solid/opportunistic Deacons defense.

Schedule: Wake Forest -1

Wake Forest has already played a road game. Wake Forest has already played a team with legitimate D-I talent.

Florida State is taking a huge step up in competition in this spot.

Momentum:  FSU -3

The Seminoles have gotten some confidence and rhythm in their two scrimmage-like games to start the season. Also, that 30-0 drumming will not be forgotten by the upperclassmen still on the team. I expect Florida State will be ready for this one.

ADVANTAGE: Wake Forest -9.5. Take the Deacons +5.

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Booth picks winners! 95% all time ATS! Weekly CFB picks on NextRound.net!

Want to drive a fancy car?! Want to date a chick with fakies?! Just play Booth’s picks and your dreams will become a reality! Keep a roll of toilet paper nearby! You just might shit yourself!

Not a bad night last night. Time to get back to work…

Ball State (-7) at Akron - 1 UNIT

Coaching:  Ball State -3

Ball State Head Coach Brady Hoke has done a nice job of recruiting and building a program from the ground up. The Cardinals finally broke through in Hoke’s 4^th year and became bowl eligible.

On the opposite end of the spectrum Akron has steadily declined under Head Coach J.D. Brookhart. Just another reason not to trust someone with initials for a first name.

Home Field Advantage: Akron -1

I don’t consider any place in the MAC particularly tough to play but I give Akron the slight nod for not having to take a bus ride.

Quarterback: Ball State -8

If you don’t know anything about Ball State Quarterback Nate Davis let Booth be the first to introduce you to one of the most talented QBs in the land. After a monster season last year he has started this season 42 of 52 for 616 yards and 7 TDs in two games.

Akron Quarterback Chris Jacquemain has also started the year fast going 42 of 62 for 487 yards and 5 TDs in two games.

The difference is that Nate Davis is an NFL caliber player averaging around 70 yards a game more than Jacquemain and completing better than 80% of his passes.

Talent: Ball State -10

While Nate Davis is an NFL caliber quarterback, the real star of the Cardinals team is Dante Love. Love had almost 1,400 yards receiving last year. This year he’s started even hotter with 18 catches for 336 yards and 3 TDs. Not to mention he has carried the ball 9 times for 59 yards and 2 TDs.

Don’t worry though, Ball State has a running game outside of Love. Junior tailback MiQuale Lewis has carried the ball 32 times for 209 yards already this year.

The Ball State defense isn’t great but they have been frisky in their first two games only giving up an average of 18.5 ppg. They will give up some points in this game to Akron’s offense that has some talent at both running back and wide receiver.

The hidden value in this line is matching up the high powered Ball State offense with the  totally inept defense of the Akron Zips. They averaged giving up 29.2 ppg last year and have started the season by giving up 33 ppg.

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We’ve seen and heard just about everyone’s analysis of the USC / Ohio State matchup on the field (our grandma called last night to tell us she’s pissed she didn’t take USC giving the points two weeks ago), but what we haven’t seen or heard much about are the off the field matchups that are most important to us. Things like…

Comedian Alumni

Will Ferrell (USC) vs. Richard Lewis (Ohio State)

Yeah, um, Richard Lewis has had some moments on Curb Your Enthusiasm, but Ferrell gave us Anchorman. This is pretty much the equivalent of the USC/Virginia opener. Edge: USC

Pro Wrestling Dads

Legion of Doom’s Animal (Ohio State) vs. The Rocker’s Marty Jannetty (USC)

We all know Ohio State linebacker James Laurinaitis’s dad is Animal from Legion of Doom, but what few people realize is that USC linebacker Rey Maualuga’s dad is actually Marty Jannetty of the Rockers…

OK, we made that second part up. But seriously, how bad ass would it be for Animal to be your dad? We’d have spent our formative years clotheslining bitches with no reprecussions. Edge: Ohio State

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Booth picks winners! 95% all time ATS! Weekly CFB picks on NextRound.net!

Want to drive a fancy car?! Want to date a chick with fakies?! Just play Booth’s picks and your dreams will become a reality! Keep a roll of toilet paper nearby! You just might shit yourself!

How good does it feel to have Kansas/South Florida playing Friday night so you can pregame with Mangino before going out? At the same how bad does it feel that you didn’t bet USC -3.5 three weeks ago now that the line is up to 10.5?

Alright, to the business at hand. A solid 5-0 so far. Time to hop back on the Boothy train to Cashtown. Here’s tonight’s pick. I’ll be back tomorrow with picks for the weekend.

North Carolina at Rutgers OVER 46 - 1 UNIT (ESPN, 7:30PM)

Note: Hop on this quick it’s going to start moving.

North Carolina:

Offense: UNC returns 10 starters on offense from a unit that really struggled to run the ball last year. In their first game against McNeese State they couldn’t run, but moved the ball pretty well through the air.

Defense: The Tarheel defense is terrible. Plain and simple. They only return 5 starters, four of which are in the secondary. UNC’s defense gave up 27 points on almost 400 yards of offense to Div I-AA McNeese State. McNeese Fucking State!

Rutgers:

Offense: Rutgers offense returns a pair of 1,000 yard receivers (Britt & Underwood) from last year’s squad that averaged 32.8 ppg. Ray Rice bolted to the league, but Kordell Young gained almost 100 yards against Fresno State in their opener. Rutgers 7 point output in that game was a reflection of their failure to capitalize on opportunities more than it was offensive ineptitude. Rutgers offense should move the ball at will against UNC.

Defense: Rutgers defense has the potential to be better than they were in Week 1. They gave up 422 yards to Fresno State, including 163 yards on the ground to tailback Ryan Matthews.

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